The Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch shows job growth declined again in August while wage growth stabilized. At 98.01, the national jobs index fell 0.17 percent from last month and 0.76 percent over the past quarter, contributing to a 1.22 percent year-over-year drop in the rate of small business job growth. Hourly earnings growth settled at 2.61 percent ($0.69) in August, and weekly hours worked showed positive growth for the first time in 2019.

“The jobs index has fallen since early 2017. In 2019, we’ve seen a continuation of that slowdown,” said James Diffley, chief regional economist at IHS Markit.

“Small businesses are adapting to the challenges of the tight labor market by increasing hours and earnings,” said Martin Mucci , Paychex president and CEO. “In August, we saw an increase in weekly hours worked, as well as higher hourly earnings growth compared to this time last year.”

Broken down further, the August report showed:

• Segmenting hourly earnings growth results by employee type shows employees at 2.75 percent, while owners are much lower at 0.86 percent.
• The South remains first among regions in employment growth; the West leads regions in hourly earnings growth.
• Tennessee is now the top state for small business job growth; Illinois remains the top state for wage growth.
• Dallas is again the top metro for job growth; San Diego maintains its lead among metros in wage growth.
• Stable at 4.54 percent in August, Leisure and Hospitality leads industries in hourly earnings growth.

The complete results for August, including interactive charts detailing all data at a national, regional, state, metro, and industry level, are available at www.paychex.com/employment-watch . Highlights are available below.

August 2019 Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch

National Jobs Index

• The national index slowed 0.17 percent in August and 0.76 percent during the past quarter, as the deceleration of small business job growth increased during the summer of 2019.
• At 98.01, the national index is down 1.22 percent year-over-year.

National Wage Report

• Hourly earnings growth leveled off this summer, settling at 2.61 percent in August.
• When examining hourly earnings growth for hourly and salaried employees, growth for hourly employees stands at 3.55 percent, while growth for salaried employees lags at 1.92 percent.
• Weekly hours worked growth turned positive in August for the first time in 2019.

Regional Jobs Index

• Small business job growth declined in all regions for the third consecutive month.
• The South is below 99, but remains the top region for small business employment growth in August.
• Slowing 0.15 percent in August and 1.29 percent from last year, at 97.39, the Northeast continues to be the lowest ranked region.

Note: Percentages displayed in the regional heat map reflect 12-month changes.

Regional Wage Report

• Hourly earnings growth continues to be fastest in the West, which is the only region above three percent.
• The pace of weekly earnings growth in the Northeast has increased every month in 2019, climbing to 2.74 percent in August.

Note: Percentages displayed in the regional heat map reflect 12-month changes.

State Jobs Index

• With indexes above 100, small business employment growth is strong in Tennessee, Texas, and Arizona.
• At 101.02, Tennessee is the new top state for small business employment growth with the best one-month and 12-month growth rates.
• Slowing 2.46 percent during the past quarter, Missouri fell below 97, joining New Jersey at the bottom of the state rankings.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest states based on U.S. population. The chart’s dark blue bars reflect the index level and the light blue diamonds reflect the 12-month change.

State Wage Report

• Illinois, New York, and Missouri lead hourly earnings growth with consistent gains throughout 2019.
• At 3.53 percent, New York ranks second among states for hourly earnings growth.
• Indiana again ranks last among states in growth for both hourly earnings and weekly hours worked, though both trended positively during the past six months.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest states based on U.S. population.

Metropolitan Jobs Index

• Dallas (101.28) and Phoenix (100.49) lead metro job growth by a wide margin.
• At 95.64, Riverside ranked last among metros in small business job growth for the past six months.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest metro areas based on U.S. population. The chart’s dark blue bars reflect the index level and the light blue diamonds reflect the 12-month change.

Metropolitan Wage Report

• San Diego leads metros in hourly earnings growth for the sixth consecutive month, averaging over four percent so far in 2019.
• Hourly earnings growth in Chicago ranks second among metros at 4.10 percent.
• At 1.22 percent and 1.24 percent respectively, hourly earnings growth in Houston and Tampa trails among metros.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest metro areas based on U.S. population.

Industry Jobs Index

• The tight labor market is having a widespread effect on small business employment growth as all sectors fell modestly in August.
• Below 98 and down 1.33 percent during the past quarter, Leisure and Hospitality is now ranked ahead of only Trade, Transportation, and Utilities, and Manufacturing.

Note: Analysis is provided for seven major industry sectors. Definitions of each industry sector can be found here . The Other Services (excluding Public Administration) industry category includes religious, civic, and social organizations, as well as personal services, including automotive and household repair, salons, drycleaners, and other businesses. The chart’s dark blue bars reflect the index level and the light blue diamonds reflect the 12-month change.

Industry Wage Report

• Stable at 4.54 percent in August, Leisure and Hospitality leads industries in hourly earnings growth. Weekly hours worked are negative year-over-year, but improved during the past quarter.
• Slightly above one percent, Education and Health Services has the lowest wage growth among sectors, though it has been stable in recent months.

Note: Analysis is provided for seven major industry sectors. Definitions of each industry sector can be found here . The Other Services (excluding Public Administration) industry category includes religious, civic, and social organizations, as well as personal services, including automotive and household repair, salons, drycleaners, and other businesses.

For more information about the Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch, visit www.paychex.com/employment-watch and sign up to receive monthly Employment Watch alerts.

*Information regarding the professions included in the industry data can be found at the Bureau of Labor Statistics website .

About the Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch
The Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch is released each month by Paychex, Inc., a leading provider of payroll, human resource, insurance, and benefits outsourcing solutions for small-to medium-sized businesses, and IHS Markit, a world leader in critical information, analytics, and expertise. Focused exclusively on small business, the monthly report offers analysis of national employment and wage trends, as well as examines regional, state, metro, and industry sector activity. Drawing from the payroll data of approximately 350,000 Paychex clients, this powerful tool delivers real-time insights into the small business trends driving the U.S. economy.

About Paychex
Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ: PAYX) is a leading provider of integrated human capital management solutions for payroll, benefits, human resources, and insurance services. By combining its innovative software-as-a-service technology and mobility platform with dedicated, personal service, Paychex empowers small- and medium-sized business owners to focus on the growth and management of their business. Backed by more than 45 years of industry expertise, Paychex serves approximately 670,000 payroll clients as of May 31, 2019 across more than 100 locations in the U.S. and Europe, and pays one out of every 12 American private sector employees. Learn more about Paychex by visiting www.paychex.com , and stay connected on Twitter and LinkedIn .

About IHS Markit ( www.ihsmarkit.com )
IHS Markit (NYSE: INFO) is a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions for the major industries and markets that drive economies worldwide. The company delivers next-generation information, analytics and solutions to customers in business, finance and government, improving their operational efficiency and providing deep insights that lead to well-informed, confident decisions. IHS Markit has more than 50,000 business and government customers, including 80 percent of the Fortune Global 500 and the world’s leading financial institutions. Headquartered in London, IHS Markit is committed to sustainable, profitable growth.

IHS Markit is a registered trademark of IHS Markit Ltd. and/or its affiliates. All other company and product names may be trademarks of their respective owners © 2019 IHS Markit Ltd. All rights reserved.

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